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Economic research and data for prediction markets

Identify the economic event or measurement in the question, then choose research that addresses it. A macro category on a trading venue is not itself a specialist economic source.

How to choose economic research

Connect the release to the question

Read which observation or analysis the source offers and when it becomes available. An economic forecast and a published measurement should be interpreted according to their different roles.

Compare source suitability

  • Check coverage of the required economic event.
  • Inspect update or publication timing.
  • Trace the analysis to its evidence.
  • Match the evidence to the contract’s exact wording.
8 tools · 1–8 shown

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CME FedWatch information page introducing the rate-probability tool
Research tool4.0Editorial

Use a futures-based reference for FOMC expectations, with meeting dates and target-rate ranges.

  • Access Web
FRED Economic Data public homepage with data search, tags and chart access.
Research tool4.0Editorial

Economic-data search and history for checking the precise measure behind a macro contract.

  • Access Web
Adjacent editorial market research and newsletter archive
Research tool3.5Editorial

Follow themes across event contracts using constructed indices, reference rates, research dashboards and market briefings.

  • Access Web · API · Email
Kalshinomics research articles and prediction-market analysis
Analytics3.5Editorial

Research both venues through searchable tables, weekly digests and focused underlying-asset dashboards.

  • Access Web
Mention Markets public demo with term search, cumulative mention chart and event filters.
Research tool3.5Editorial

Transcript and post search with word-form controls, frequency charts and adjustable context for mention-market research.

  • Access Web
ResolutionWire document-monitoring workflow and receipt examples
Data feed3.5Editorial

Document-based market research with deciding-source maps, timestamped receipts and a public record of settled calls.

  • Access Web
PredictionBell trader and sports-research modes
Analytics3.0Editorial

A free research screener for sports, financial and macro contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi.

  • Trading mode Read-only
  • Access Web
AI Bubble Oracle historical-cycle metric tree and per-series timelines
Research tool2.5Editorial

Compare dot-com and AI-era shapes, change assumptions and inspect counterexamples before interpreting a projected date.

  • Access Web