PredictionToolkit
Structured news events and knowledge-graph data for reproducible research and media monitoring.
- Access Web · Datasets · BigQuery
Find your toolkit
Politics and elections research for prediction markets
Research the political event in the question through specialist observations and analysis. A politics filter on a trading venue is a discovery feature, not proof of a research-source role.
How to choose politics & elections
Keep the event and interpretation distinct
Read whether the material is an observation, analysis or forecast, then connect it to the specific contract. Broad political commentary may not answer the event described by that contract.
Compare evidence quality
- Check the source’s relevant coverage.
- Inspect update timing.
- Follow claims to their evidence.
- Match the evidence and contract wording.
9 tools · 1–9 shown
Follow themes across event contracts using constructed indices, reference rates, research dashboards and market briefings.
- Access Web · API · Email
Compare election probabilities across venues, inspect bid/ask ranges and follow race history and state maps.
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Transcript and post search with word-form controls, frequency charts and adjustable context for mention-market research.
- Access Web
Specialized historical counts and current progress for mention, political-action and YouTube-view contracts.
- Access Web
A publication of political forecasting essays, model updates and prediction-market trading notes.
- Access Web · Email
Document-based market research with deciding-source maps, timestamped receipts and a public record of settled calls.
- Access Web
Public research tools, free account archives and alerts, plus a separate application-only portfolio and trading beta.
- Access Web
Search speech transcripts, compare speakers and formats, and inspect historical word counts for mention-market research.
- Access Web