
Build a research shortlist from ranked feeds, market-link analysis and highlighted wallet activity.
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Evaluate an estimate by how it was produced and which event it describes. Forecasting tools and AI research can offer a probability estimate, but the supporting evidence determines what you can assess.
A forecast and the market price are different measures. Compare the evidence, assumptions and time horizon before interpreting a difference between them.

Build a research shortlist from ranked feeds, market-link analysis and highlighted wallet activity.

A historical football-research archive connecting team form, match forecasts, tournament views and Polymarket comparisons.

Weather-model research and free daily temperature-market signals for Kalshi.

Compare dot-com and AI-era shapes, change assumptions and inspect counterexamples before interpreting a projected date.

One initiative with distinct Polymarket trading-signal and forecasting-agent tracks, plus an early-access Alma presentation.

Explore opinion markets on a public devnet, where settlement requires one side to sustain the specified lead.

An open-source temperature-research interface with station comparisons, forecast freshness and clearly synthetic demo data.

Screenshot-based research and daily picks with model fair values, confidence scores and written reasoning.

AI event research, wallet follows and portfolio concentration in Telegram, with unresolved marketing conflicts.

Screenshot-based AI research with a fair-value comparison, confidence, risk scores, daily picks and coaching.

An AI research beta with event categories and gated monitoring, whose captured public Events list was empty.