PredictionToolkit
What is WC Formbook?
The completed 2026 World Cup material is historical research, rather than a feed for upcoming matches. Its knockout bracket follows actual winners and should not be read as the original model forecast bracket.
Model probabilities and archived Polymarket snapshots can have different timestamps. Read the forecast run and selection rules before interpreting the reported ROI, which depends on the archive’s stated selection and price assumptions.
Who it is for
- Football-model researchers.
- Users studying model-probability and market-price comparisons.
- Readers auditing a completed tournament forecast.
Features and coverage
- Team form and match model
Review the last 10 international matches in most-recent-first order and the Dixon–Coles-based match-probability approach.
- Bracket and advancement
Follow the actual knockout progression and compare teams’ estimated chances of going through.
- Tournament and award markets
Explore longer-horizon tournament outcomes and individual awards alongside match research.
- Picks and performance
Inspect the published selection and ROI record with its stated price and selection assumptions.
- Methodology and source trail
Read definitions in the methodology and glossary, and trace linked code, source inputs and archived runs.
Workflows with WC Formbook
Audit a forecast
Select a match, inspect available form inputs and the archived run, then compare its recorded probability with the outcome.
Study market selection
Read the archived Polymarket comparison and the selection rule before interpreting the performance record.
Reuse the method
Follow inputs and model assumptions through the linked repository instead of treating an expired tournament pick as a current signal.
Pricing and total cost
The public archive, methodology and linked code are accessible without a listed subscription.
Getting started
Before you start: The bracket follows actual winners rather than preserving only the original model path.
- Open the report and methodology.
- Choose Matches, Futures or Awards and identify the archived forecast run.
- Review input form and model assumptions.
- Compare the outcome with the recorded market quote, accounting for timestamps.
- Follow the linked code for reproducible analysis.
The completed 2026 tournament archive is historical, not an upcoming-match signal feed.
Useful links
What to check
- The bracket follows actual winners rather than preserving only the original model path.
- Model probabilities and archived market snapshots have different timestamps.
- ROI depends on the stated selection and price assumptions.
A closer look
Ratings & reviews
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Frequently asked questions about WC Formbook
Is this a current live football betting feed?
Its main material is a completed World Cup research archive, useful for retrospective study.
Which match model is named?
The site identifies a Dixon–Coles-based forecasting approach.
Can I inspect the inputs?
The site links sources, methodology, code and archived runs for tracing the analysis.
Does the bracket show only model picks?
No. It follows the actual tournament progression.