PredictionToolkit
What is Seeker Labs?
The reviewed macro view displayed probability and disagreement measures together with venue activity. These answer different questions: a consensus-probability index, a dispersion measure and a volume change should not be read as equivalent return series.
Interpret an index through its definition, constituent coverage and event horizon. The research covers Polymarket and related prediction venues, but comparisons of venue volume need a methodology check. Index values were not independently reconstructed, and commercial API access and data-licensing prices were not established.
Who it is for
- Research teams comparing prediction-market benchmarks.
- Macro analysts following consensus and disagreement.
Features and coverage
- Themed composite indexes
Explore measures such as the expected Fed path and inflation indexes.
- Construction standards
Read the standards and research behind how indexes are built.
- Venue statistics
Inspect volume and open interest separately from index levels.
Workflows with Seeker Labs
Interpret a macro index
Select an index, read its definition and relate its changes to the horizon of the underlying events.
Separate activity from consensus
Use venue volume and open interest to answer a participation question, then examine the consensus index separately. This keeps a change in how much is being traded from being mistaken for a change in what the market expects.
Pricing and total cost
Public index pages were accessible in the source review. Prices for commercial API access and data licensing were not established.
Access: The public research interface can be browsed; API access is governed by separate documentation and terms.
Getting started
Before you start: An index’s meaning depends on its construction methodology and constituent coverage.
- Choose a theme and an index.
- Read the index definition and construction standards.
- Compare changes using consistent dates, units and constituents.
Browsable public research does not establish API access, which has its own documentation and terms.
Useful links
What to check
- An index’s meaning depends on its construction methodology and constituent coverage.
- The review did not independently recalculate index values.
A closer look
Ratings & reviews
User reviews 0
The main score switches to user ratings after 5 published reviews.
A specific example helps the next person choose the right tool.
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Frequently asked questions about Seeker Labs
Is dispersion a market probability?
No. The two measures answer different questions: dispersion concerns how far views disagree, whereas a consensus-probability index concerns the implied likelihood. Check which measure you are reading before interpreting its level.
Do all venues define volume identically?
Do not assume so. Check the methodology before comparing venue statistics.
What pricing is established?
Public index pages were accessible; commercial API and data-licensing prices were not established.
How does research access differ from API access?
The public research interface is browsable. API access has separate documentation and terms.