PredictionToolkit
What is Sirtio?
The tracked pool comes from Polymarket’s public monthly top-100 leaderboard, not the entire wallet population. Scores run from 0 to 100, with exact break-even at 50. Elite, Great, Good and lower tiers use fixed bands rather than forcing a proportion of traders into each tier.
The methodology uses a rolling 30-day realized-result window. Ranking requires at least 10 resolved positions; a smaller sample can still have a Provisional profile score without a place. Check which positions entered the sample: the inspected profile warns that redemption and closed-position selection can bias it toward wins.
Who it is for
- Users shortlisting traders for deeper research.
- Analysts comparing consistency with headline profit.
- Researchers wanting an explained ranking method.
Features and coverage
- Scored leaderboard
Compare selected traders on a 0–100 scale.
- Sample-size adjustment
Blend limited histories toward the tracked pool average.
- Fixed score tiers
Read Elite, Great, Good and lower bands without forced percentile membership.
- Public methodology
Inspect conceptual inputs and the break-even interpretation; exact weights remain private.
- Trader pages
Open individual wallet profiles from the ranking.
- Window and provisional status
Use 30-day realized results; ranking needs 10 resolved positions, while smaller samples can have Provisional scores.
Workflows with Sirtio
Shortlist a trader
Compare score, sample length and markets traded, then judge whether the style fits your research.
Interpret a high score
Read the methodology and realized sample instead of treating decimals as a precise skill measurement.
Compare two records
Inspect consistency and sample size that raw-profit ordering can obscure.
Check the sample boundary
The window changed from 90 to 30 days on October 15, 2026. Check window, resolved count and inclusion warnings: a score change need not mean new trading.
Pricing and total cost
The leaderboard and methodology are publicly viewable. Public pages state no subscription price.
Getting started
Before you start: The tracked pool is a monthly top-100 selection.
- Open the leaderboard and read the score method and fixed tiers.
- Open a trader profile and inspect the size and composition of the realized sample.
- Revisit after the roughly daily refresh.
The pool comes from the monthly top-100 leaderboard, not all wallets.
Useful links
What to check
- The tracked pool is a monthly top-100 selection.
- Rolling 30-day scores across the October 15 change are not directly comparable.
- Refreshes are roughly daily, without tick-by-tick updates.
- Exact weights and constants are private.
- The ranking does not execute copied trades.
- Redemption and closed-position selection can skew the inspected sample toward wins; the score is not an independently audited skill measure.
A closer look
Ratings & reviews
User reviews 0
The main score switches to user ratings after 5 published reviews.
A specific example helps the next person choose the right tool.
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Frequently asked questions about Sirtio
Does Sirtio scan every wallet?
Its pool is drawn from the public monthly top-100 leaderboard.
What does 50 represent?
Exact break-even in the described methodology.
Is the score raw win rate?
The described model uses realized P&L and return history, not raw win rate.
How often does it refresh?
Roughly once per day.
Why can a scored profile be unranked?
Ranking requires 10 resolved positions in the 30-day window. A smaller sample can have a Provisional score without a place.