Name: OVERROUND: editorial review
Rating: 3.5
Author: PredictionToolkit

What is OVERROUND?

The leaderboard compares price-relative records within categories, while the wallet checker evaluates eligible held-to-resolution positions against raw entry prices. They can disagree because eligibility and baselines differ. Scores are calculated before fees, and the receipts ledger exposes graded wins and losses.

Conviction alerts require at least $1,000 notional and a 10–90¢ entry; when enough history exists, the position must also be 1.5 times the wallet's median position. Short Up/Down series, daily highest-temperature and above/below price-threshold markets are excluded. In-play sports can qualify, but delivery is typically minutes after the original fill.

Who it is for

Comparing trader records beyond win rate.
Receiving fewer wallet alerts with an explanation.
Auditing a published scoring method.

Features and coverage

Category rankings
Compare price-relative historical records within a subject area.
Sample adjustment
Discount thin histories rather than treating all winning streaks alike.
Calibration views
Compare stated probabilities with observed outcomes.
Wallet checker
Assess eligible held-to-resolution positions against raw entry prices.
Conviction gate
Require at least $1,000 notional, a 10–90¢ entry and, with enough history, 1.5 times the wallet's median position.
Email and Telegram
Receive email alerts and optionally connect Telegram from the subscriber feed.
Digest and caps
Collapse bursts and include capped activity in a daily digest.
Receipts ledger
Inspect wins, losses and the underlying graded records.

Workflows with OVERROUND

Research a forecaster

Open a category board and inspect sample size, calibration and graded history.

Configure alerts

Subscribe, choose categories on the feed page and connect Telegram if desired.

Explain a score mismatch

Compare the leaderboard's and checker's eligibility and baseline rules before treating different results as an error.

Pricing and total cost

Public research is available free, with Pro access billed monthly or annually. The listed standard monthly rate is $29; the $19 founding rate remains only while the subscription stays active.

Free

Category-leading wallet research
Receipts and methodology
Wallet checker: 3 checks/day, or 30 when signed in
Weekly report

Pro founding monthly

$19/month

Full scores and top-board research
Conviction alerts and watchlist
Daily digest

Annual

$228/year

Pro access

Getting started

Before you start: In-play sports may alert, with delivery typically minutes after the original fill.

Open a category leaderboard.
Read the score methodology.
Inspect a wallet and its receipts.
Subscribe if you need conviction alerts.
Choose categories and connect Telegram from Your feed.

Alerts exclude short Up/Down series, daily highest-temperature and above/below price-threshold markets.

Read the scoring methodology

Useful links

View OVERROUND pricing

What to check

In-play sports may alert, with delivery typically minutes after the original fill.
Scores are calculated before fees.
Checker and leaderboard results can differ because they assess different records.
Historical diagnostics do not establish a follower's future returns.

A closer look

Ratings & reviews

Editorial rating

3.5/ 5

0 user reviews

PredictionToolkit editorial

Our take on OVERROUND

OVERROUND adds context to wallet comparisons through category records, sample adjustments and calibration rather than win rate alone. Its exclusions also determine which alerts can arrive; neither the historical scoring nor those notifications establishes what a follower will earn.

Based on documented features, setup and access terms. How we rate