PredictionToolkit
What is Convexly?
Historical Edge Score combines calibration, conviction and discipline against a fixed cohort. Read it with the coverage label: a chain-rebuilt resolved record differs from a recent window that can miss redeemed positions. Available history is not automatically a lifetime record or a forecast of future returns.
Snapshot time, latest captured trade and the analysis boundary can differ. The sample report also shows PnL without the largest event. Save a dated read summary or receipt for reproducibility: a wallet link can later show another read, and browser-only saved reads disappear when local data is cleared and do not enable alerts or synchronization.
Who it is for
- Users researching a wallet before copying.
- Researchers needing rows and collection coverage.
- Analysts comparing concentration over time.
Features and coverage
- Public wallet check
Use a public address; no wallet connection and no account for the first check.
- Historical Edge Score
Compare historical calibration, conviction and discipline against a fixed cohort.
- Coverage records
Distinguish chain-rebuilt records from recent windows that may omit redeemed positions.
- Watched wallets
Get new-position summaries and Monday digests of score, concentration and activity changes.
- Full-history rereads
Schedule selected wallets under separate read-set sizes and cadences.
- CSV and API
Export watched-wallet rows; Researcher and higher add quota-based resolved-market API access.
- Resolution Lab
Read public settlement briefs and deeper rounds/resolver records with research access.
- Event and snapshot context
Compare PnL excluding the largest event and distinguish captured trade, generation time and available-history coverage.
Workflows with Convexly
Read coverage before returns
Inspect coverage, resolved positions and concentration and compare only actually available periods.
Monitor a shortlist
Save wallets, review Monday changes and open a fresh read when a watched position settles.
Reproduce the record boundary
Export rows with their receipt or block reference.
Distinguish a saved read and a link
Use the dated summary for a fixed observation; a wallet link may update and local bookmarks do not create monitoring.
Pricing and total cost
Wallet checks are free; subscriptions add monitoring and research. Institutional work is quoted separately.
Free
US$0
- Public checks; 1 watched wallet; Monday email.
Watchlist
US$9/month
- 3 watched wallets; monthly rereads for up to 3 wallets; CSV.
Researcher
US$49/month
- 10 watched wallets; settlement-triggered rereads; deeper diagnostics and API quota.
Trader
US$499/month
- 25-wallet alert watchlist; weekly rereads of up to 50 wallets; activity stream and cohort monitoring.
One-time read
US$19
- 1 chain-reconciled wallet read with record receipt.
Getting started
Before you start: Historical diagnostics do not forecast future returns.
- Paste an address into Wallet Check and inspect coverage and resolved records.
- Create an account for a watchlist and choose its size and reread cadence separately.
- Configure email or export records for your analysis.
Edge Score describes past behavior against a fixed cohort.
Useful links
What to check
- Historical diagnostics do not forecast future returns.
- Watchlist and full-history read-set sizes are separate.
- Trader wallet-move alerts poll every 5 minutes; rereads follow another cadence.
- Available history can miss redeemed positions; holdings/trade snapshots may be newer than analysis.
A closer look
Ratings & reviews
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Frequently asked questions about Convexly
Must I connect a wallet?
Checks use public addresses.
Can I buy one detailed read?
A chain-reconciled one-time read is offered separately.
Why inspect coverage?
Recent windows can omit redeemed positions and differ from a rebuilt record.
Can I download rows?
Paid watched-wallet plans include CSV exports.
Is a wallet link a permanent report copy?
A dated read summary preserves that read; the link can change. Browser-only saved reads disappear when local data is cleared.