--- url: "https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/prophet-notes/" publisher: "PredictionToolkit" dateModified: "2026-11-02" --- [← News & media]() ![Prophet Notes logo]() Research tool # Prophet Notes: read the reasoning behind political forecasts Prophet Notes publishes long-form political analysis, election models and discussion of prediction-market positions. Its dated archive combines public posts and previews with subscriber-only articles. [**3.5**/ 5Editorial rating]() [Editorial assessment]() [Read Prophet Notes]() www.prophetnotes.com **Available on:** Web · Email **Pricing:** [See plans and costs ↓]() [Screenshots]() [Explore alternatives]() **Availability: public** [News & media]() [Forecasting]() +1 more [Politics & elections]() ## Screenshots and interface Product preview1 / 1 The publication homepage distinguishes articles and previews within a research archive. ## What is Prophet Notes? Use an article to compare its assumptions with the probability implied by a matching contract. Confirm the event, time horizon and publication date rather than treating the author’s position as an instruction to trade. Successive posts can show how new evidence changed a forecast. Commentary and model outputs are not official settlement sources, and the author’s performance is not established by an independent audit. ### Who it is for - Political-market researchers comparing forecasts. - Readers seeking a developed argument behind a probability. ## Features and coverage - **Forecasting essays** Read analysis of elections and political events in publication form. - **Model updates** Follow published forecast revisions, including OMEN midterm coverage. - **Dated archive** Distinguish public previews and posts from locked subscriber articles and track changes in reasoning. ## Workflows with Prophet Notes ### Compare a forecast Check its date, assumptions, event and horizon against the exact venue contract. ### Track a revision Read successive posts and identify the new evidence responsible for a changed argument. ## Pricing and total cost Public posts and previews are available. Some articles require a paid subscription; its amount is not verified. **Access:** Read public material in a browser; the publication manages subscription access and offers web/email delivery. ## Getting started **Before you start:** Opinion and model forecasts are not settlement sources. 1. Choose a relevant dated post from the archive. 2. Check whether it is public or subscriber-only. 3. Compare its assumptions with the exact market question and primary evidence. Access varies by post and is controlled by the publication. ## Useful links ### What to check - Opinion and model forecasts are not settlement sources. - Author performance has not been independently audited. - A historical article may address a different horizon or information set. A closer look ## Ratings & reviews Editorial rating **3.5**/ 5 0 user reviews PredictionToolkit editorial ### Our take on Prophet Notes A dated archive and developed arguments make the publication useful for comparing political forecasts. Its value is the reasoning and revisions; commentary does not replace primary evidence, market rules or an independently verified performance record. Based on documented features, setup and access terms. [How we rate]() ### User reviews 0 The main score switches to user ratings after 5 published reviews. **Be the first to share your experience** A specific example helps the next person choose the right tool. ## Related tools [Browse category]() ![FRED Economic Data public homepage with data search, tags and chart access.]() ![FRED Economic Data logo]()[FRED Economic Data]() Research tool**4.0**Editorial Economic-data search and history for checking the precise measure behind a macro contract. - Access Web Check the underlying macroeconomic series as well as commentary. ![Adjacent editorial market research and newsletter archive]() ![Adjacent logo]()[Adjacent]() Research tool**3.5**Editorial Follow themes across event contracts using constructed indices, reference rates, research dashboards and market briefings. - Access Web · API · Email Also in News and Media. ![Predictbook homepage with public analysis and whale-alert previews]() ![Predictbook logo]()[Predictbook]() Research tool**3.5**Editorial Editorial coverage, large-trade alerts and cross-venue signal pages for prediction-market research. - Access Web Compare another editorial prediction-market publication. ## Frequently asked questions about Prophet Notes ### Is Prophet Notes a trading bot? No. It is a research publication with forecasts and trading commentary. ### Can I read without subscribing? Public posts and previews are available; locked material requires the publication’s subscription. ### How should a forecast be compared with a market? Match its event, date and horizon to the contract, then assess assumptions and primary evidence. In this profile