--- url: "https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/overround/" publisher: "PredictionToolkit" dateModified: "2026-11-03" --- [← Leaderboards]() Analytics # OVERROUND: Category Wallet Rankings and Conviction Alerts OVERROUND researches Polymarket wallets using category-specific historical records, sample adjustments and calibration. Its public tools and paid alert workflow aim to explain a trader's record beyond raw win rate; the product provides research and notifications rather than automatic copying. [**3.5**/ 5Editorial rating]() [Editorial assessment]() [Open OVERROUND]() www.overround.pro **Available on:** Web · Telegram · Email **Pricing:** [See plans and costs ↓]() [Screenshots]() [Explore alternatives]() [Leaderboards]() [Wallet tracking]() +2 more [Forecasting]() [Alerts]() ## Screenshots and interface Product preview1 / 2 Preview of the research interface and wallet rankings. ## What is OVERROUND? The leaderboard compares price-relative records within categories, while the wallet checker evaluates eligible held-to-resolution positions against raw entry prices. They can disagree because eligibility and baselines differ. Scores are calculated before fees, and the receipts ledger exposes graded wins and losses. Conviction alerts require at least $1,000 notional and a 10–90¢ entry; when enough history exists, the position must also be 1.5 times the wallet's median position. Short Up/Down series, daily highest-temperature and above/below price-threshold markets are excluded. In-play sports can qualify, but delivery is typically minutes after the original fill. ### Who it is for - Comparing trader records beyond win rate. - Receiving fewer wallet alerts with an explanation. - Auditing a published scoring method. ## Features and coverage - **Category rankings** Compare price-relative historical records within a subject area. - **Sample adjustment** Discount thin histories rather than treating all winning streaks alike. - **Calibration views** Compare stated probabilities with observed outcomes. - **Wallet checker** Assess eligible held-to-resolution positions against raw entry prices. - **Conviction gate** Require at least $1,000 notional, a 10–90¢ entry and, with enough history, 1.5 times the wallet's median position. - **Email and Telegram** Receive email alerts and optionally connect Telegram from the subscriber feed. - **Digest and caps** Collapse bursts and include capped activity in a daily digest. - **Receipts ledger** Inspect wins, losses and the underlying graded records. ## Workflows with OVERROUND ### Research a forecaster Open a category board and inspect sample size, calibration and graded history. ### Configure alerts Subscribe, choose categories on the feed page and connect Telegram if desired. ### Explain a score mismatch Compare the leaderboard's and checker's eligibility and baseline rules before treating different results as an error. ## Pricing and total cost Public research is available free, with Pro access billed monthly or annually. The listed standard monthly rate is $29; the $19 founding rate remains only while the subscription stays active. ### Free $0 - Category-leading wallet research - Receipts and methodology - Wallet checker: 3 checks/day, or 30 when signed in - Weekly report ### Pro founding monthly $19/month - Full scores and top-board research - Conviction alerts and watchlist - Daily digest ### Annual $228/year - Pro access ## Getting started **Before you start:** In-play sports may alert, with delivery typically minutes after the original fill. 1. Open a category leaderboard. 2. Read the score methodology. 3. Inspect a wallet and its receipts. 4. Subscribe if you need conviction alerts. 5. Choose categories and connect Telegram from Your feed. Alerts exclude short Up/Down series, daily highest-temperature and above/below price-threshold markets. [Read the scoring methodology]() ## Useful links - [View OVERROUND pricing]() ### What to check - In-play sports may alert, with delivery typically minutes after the original fill. - Scores are calculated before fees. - Checker and leaderboard results can differ because they assess different records. - Historical diagnostics do not establish a follower's future returns. A closer look ## Ratings & reviews Editorial rating **3.5**/ 5 0 user reviews PredictionToolkit editorial ### Our take on OVERROUND OVERROUND adds context to wallet comparisons through category records, sample adjustments and calibration rather than win rate alone. Its exclusions also determine which alerts can arrive; neither the historical scoring nor those notifications establishes what a follower will earn. Based on documented features, setup and access terms. [How we rate]() ### User reviews 0 The main score switches to user ratings after 5 published reviews. **Be the first to share your experience** A specific example helps the next person choose the right tool. ## Related tools [Browse category]() ![Polywhaler preview of wallet research and suggested traders]() ![Polywhaler logo]()[Polywhaler]() Platform**3.5**Editorial Whale feeds and explained wallet scores, with Orca paper/live portfolios and a separate Quant data plan. - Access Web · Telegram · Discord · API · iOS Compare size- and rule-based wallet alerts. ![Predicting.top public trader leaderboard with periods and performance columns]() ![Predicting.top logo]()[Predicting.top]() Analytics**3.5**Editorial Public multi-venue rankings combining profit, return and provider-defined scoring components. - Access Web Also in trader leaderboards and forecaster rankings. ![Prophet Arena question input and model leaderboard entry]() ![Prophet Arena logo]()[Prophet Arena]() Research tool**3.5**Editorial A live AI forecasting benchmark with resolved-event scores, comparable-event standings and inspectable research traces. - Access Web Compare model forecasts and scored outcomes across public questions. ## Frequently asked questions about OVERROUND ### Is this automatic copying? No. It provides research and alerts. ### Can I choose alert categories? Yes. Choose them from the feed page. ### Where do I connect Telegram? Use Connect Telegram on the subscriber feed, then Start in Telegram. In this profile