---
url: "https://predictiontoolkit.com/data-sources/politics/"
publisher: "PredictionToolkit"
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Find your toolkit

# Politics and elections research for prediction markets

Research the political event in the question through specialist observations and analysis. A politics filter on a trading venue is a discovery feature, not proof of a research-source role.

How to choose politics & elections

## Keep the event and interpretation distinct

Read whether the material is an observation, analysis or forecast, then connect it to the specific contract. Broad political commentary may not answer the event described by that contract.

## Compare evidence quality

-   Check the source’s relevant coverage.
-   Inspect update timing.
-   Follow claims to their evidence.
-   Match the evidence and contract wording.

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**9** tools · 1–9 shown

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![GDELT official public project homepage with data and research navigation.](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-gdelt-250fc00983f782ba-400.webp>)

![GDELT logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/icon-logo-gdelt-20261026-60-038a10b47377750c.webp>)[GDELT](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/gdelt/>) 

Dataset**4.0**Editorial

Structured news events and knowledge-graph data for reproducible research and media monitoring.

-   Access Web · Datasets · BigQuery

![Adjacent editorial market research and newsletter archive](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-adjacent-news-2af612e74aa0-400.webp>)

![Adjacent logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-adjacent-news-9317fa6e7868.webp>)[Adjacent](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/adjacent-news/>) 

Research tool**3.5**Editorial

Follow themes across event contracts using constructed indices, reference rates, research dashboards and market briefings.

-   Access Web · API · Email

![Election Betting Odds probabilities and electoral map](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-election-betting-odds-b6c44562ebcf-400.webp>)

[Election Betting Odds](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/election-betting-odds/>) 

Research tool**3.5**Editorial

Election research linking cross-venue probability summaries with bid/ask ranges, past race movements and state maps.

-   Access Web

![Mention Markets public demo with term search, cumulative mention chart and event filters.](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-mention-markets-998063a61e04-400.webp>)

![Mention Markets logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-mention-markets-9b15bd4cfe2a.webp>)[Mention Markets](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/mention-markets/>) 

Research tool**3.5**Editorial

Transcript and post search with word-form controls, frequency charts and adjustable context for mention-market research.

-   Access Web

![Odds Assist Prediction Markets Pro product overview](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-oddsassist-pro-e01ec701fa80-400.webp>)

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Research tool**3.5**Editorial

Specialized historical counts and current progress for mention, political-action and YouTube-view contracts.

-   Access Web

![Prophet Notes homepage with forecast articles and previews](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-prophet-notes-561aab816a00fcf4-400.webp>)

![Prophet Notes logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/icon-logo-prophet-notes-20261026-192-287735caf86bb045.webp>)[Prophet Notes](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/prophet-notes/>) 

Research tool**3.5**Editorial

A publication of political forecasting essays, model updates and prediction-market trading notes.

-   Access Web · Email

![ResolutionWire document-monitoring workflow and receipt examples](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-resolutionwire-com-020e426709f2-400.webp>)

[ResolutionWire](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/resolutionwire-com/>) 

Data feed**3.5**Editorial

Document-based market research with deciding-source maps, timestamped receipts and a public record of settled calls.

-   Access Web

![Resolve Markets introduction to cross-venue contract discovery](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-resolve-markets-f452cebbc21b-400.webp>)

![Resolve Markets logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-resolve-markets-fcbe48e1c6ad.webp>)[Resolve Markets](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/resolve-markets/>) 

Analytics**3.5**Editorial

Public research tools, free account archives and alerts, plus a separate application-only portfolio and trading beta.

-   Access Web

![MentionMetrix transcripts containing a selected search term](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-mentionmetrix-721bc93a5c06-400.webp>)

![MentionMetrix logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-mentionmetrix-5c39bdb9912d.webp>)[MentionMetrix](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/mentionmetrix/>) 

Analytics**3.0**Editorial

Search speech transcripts, compare speakers and formats, and inspect historical word counts for mention-market research.

-   Access Web