---
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publisher: "PredictionToolkit"
---

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Find your toolkit

# Economic research and data for prediction markets

Identify the economic event or measurement in the question, then choose research that addresses it. A macro category on a trading venue is not itself a specialist economic source.

How to choose economic research

## Connect the release to the question

Read which observation or analysis the source offers and when it becomes available. An economic forecast and a published measurement should be interpreted according to their different roles.

## Compare source suitability

-   Check coverage of the required economic event.
-   Inspect update or publication timing.
-   Trace the analysis to its evidence.
-   Match the evidence to the contract’s exact wording.

[Prediction Market Topic Research and Data](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/polymarket-data-sources/>) 

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**8** tools · 1–8 shown

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![CME FedWatch information page introducing the rate-probability tool](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-cme-fedwatch-bbee0930aaaf9880-400.webp>)

[CME FedWatch](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/cme-fedwatch/>) 

Research tool**4.0**Editorial

Use a futures-based reference for FOMC expectations, with meeting dates and target-rate ranges.

-   Access Web

![FRED Economic Data public homepage with data search, tags and chart access.](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-fred-47b90d5dc1dd78a7-400.webp>)

![FRED Economic Data logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/icon-logo-fred-20261026-192-b26853d00a38d9bd.webp>)[FRED Economic Data](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/fred/>) 

Research tool**4.0**Editorial

Economic-data search and history for checking the precise measure behind a macro contract.

-   Access Web

![Adjacent editorial market research and newsletter archive](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-adjacent-news-2af612e74aa0-400.webp>)

![Adjacent logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-adjacent-news-9317fa6e7868.webp>)[Adjacent](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/adjacent-news/>) 

Research tool**3.5**Editorial

Follow themes across event contracts using constructed indices, reference rates, research dashboards and market briefings.

-   Access Web · API · Email

![Kalshinomics research articles and prediction-market analysis](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-kalshinomics-84b43ebe7cc5-400.webp>)

![Kalshinomics logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-kalshinomics-66b6e55e356b.webp>)[Kalshinomics](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/kalshinomics/>) 

Analytics**3.5**Editorial

Research both venues through searchable tables, weekly digests and focused underlying-asset dashboards.

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![Mention Markets public demo with term search, cumulative mention chart and event filters.](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-mention-markets-998063a61e04-400.webp>)

![Mention Markets logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-mention-markets-9b15bd4cfe2a.webp>)[Mention Markets](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/mention-markets/>) 

Research tool**3.5**Editorial

Transcript and post search with word-form controls, frequency charts and adjustable context for mention-market research.

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![ResolutionWire document-monitoring workflow and receipt examples](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-resolutionwire-com-020e426709f2-400.webp>)

[ResolutionWire](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/resolutionwire-com/>) 

Data feed**3.5**Editorial

Document-based market research with deciding-source maps, timestamped receipts and a public record of settled calls.

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![PredictionBell trader and sports-research modes](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-predictionbell-a2439cf4a7ee-400.webp>)

![PredictionBell logo](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/logo-predictionbell-a9d59cb95f04.webp>)[PredictionBell](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/predictionbell/>) 

Analytics**3.0**Editorial

A free research screener for sports, financial and macro contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi.

-   Trading mode Read-only
-   Access Web

![AI Bubble Oracle historical-cycle metric tree and per-series timelines](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/assets/cover-ai-bubble-oracle-4bab50a929cf-400.webp>)

[AI Bubble Oracle](<https://predictiontoolkit.com/tools/ai-bubble-oracle/>) 

Research tool**2.5**Editorial

Compare dot-com and AI-era shapes, change assumptions and inspect counterexamples before interpreting a projected date.

-   Access Web
